Monday, March 14, 2005

Hillary for President?

Here's the scenario;

Hillary Clinton gets the Democratic Nomination and has to battle Condoleeza Rice in the first all-woman Presidential election in US history.

Let's hope not. Because Hillary does not have a snowball's chance in hell of winning the Presidency. She is hated outside the blue states for her liberalism and for her links to Bill Clinton (still detested by hard line Republicans). So if they end up being the choices, I could forsee massive apathy and extremely low turnout at the polls. And while I'd love to see a female US President, I don't want to see one in these circumstances.

Hillary is known to be planning a campaign for the Democratic nomination next time round, but who will she face? John Kerry won't be making another appearance and his running mate John Edwards has cut down on his political commitments to be with his wife as she battles cancer. And the rest of the Democratic nominees from last time around aren't expected to make another bid, with the possible exception of Howard Dean. Best known for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory with his scream of defiance after not getting the nomination in the Iowa caucuses, he has taken on chairmanship of the party, in what I presume to be an attempt to set himself up for a comeback in 2008.

Both parties are up in the air. Neither have candidates attractive to the swing voters. And, with a completely open election in three and a half years, who they choose may decide who controls the White House for potentially eight years. If the Republicans choose wisely, they can draw a lot of support from Democratic conservatives and secure their control of Washington. If the Democrats come out with the winner, they can attempt to regain their lost ground and try and win back majorities in the Senate and House. Of the two parties, this upcoming election is more important for the Dems, as they have not had a victory since Clinton in '96-in additon to fading rapidly from power since Nixon became President.

And, should Bush be unable to restructure the Supreme Court in his term in the face of Democratic filibustering, the next President will be the one who fills the benches and sets the agenda of the American Courts for possibly decades to come.

An important election, then. Not one to be squandered by ambitious ex First Ladies.

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